Pax Pretio Empta
Why does Europe insist on such historical embarrassment?
Donald Trump ruled out military force over Greenland today at Davos. “You can say yes, and we will be very appreciative, or you can say no, and we will remember,” he said—but he took the gun off the table.
That was the moment. That was the off-ramp. The correct European response was four words: “Good. There is nothing further to discuss.”
Instead, they entered a “process.” They agreed to “continued dialogue.” They created a “framework” for discussion. They turned a non-negotiable into a negotiation.
What the fuck are the Europeans going on about? I must insist on asking this question.
⁂
Supposedly serious leaders of supposedly serious countries, let me remind you that Trump demanded the purchase of Greenland—a Danish territory with a population that has made clear it does not wish to become American. He threatened tariffs. He mused about military options. European leaders responded with appropriate outrage. “Unacceptable,” said Macron. “Completely wrong,” said Starmer. The EU activated emergency consultations. Unity was proclaimed.
And then Trump blinked. At Davos, he ruled out the use of force. He softened from demand to request. He went from “we will take Greenland” to “we would like to negotiate.”
This was a fucking victory. The Europeans had called his bluff, and he had folded. The correct move—the only move—was to pocket the concession and close the door. Greenland is Danish. Its future is a matter for the Greenlanders and the Danes. We welcome your commitment to resolving disagreements peacefully. There is nothing to negotiate.
Full stop. Walk away. Let him rage on Truth Social. Let the tariff threats hang there as the empty bluster of a man who wanted something he could not have. Do not, under any circumstances, sit down at a table to discuss what he might receive instead.
They sat down at the table.
Oh my god, what the fuck?
⁂
I am watching Winston Churchill claw his way out of his grave and come screaming down Charing Cross Road in skeletal form.
This is not Munich in content. No one is handing over territory. But it is Munich in form—the instinct to transform a non-negotiable into a negotiation because confrontation is uncomfortable. The belief that if you keep the conversation going, the unreasonable man will eventually become reasonable. The failure to understand that some positions must simply be held, not discussed.
You do not negotiate with someone who has just demanded something outrageous and then backed down from his threat to take it by force. You pocket the concession. You close the door. You do not open a new door to see what else he might want.
What have the Europeans accomplished? Trump now gets to claim he is “in negotiations” over Greenland. He held meetings at Davos. He has a “framework.” The tariffs—which should have been met with immediate, devastating retaliation—are now “leverage” for a conversation that should never have begun.
They have legitimized the premise. They have established that when the American president demands something insane, the appropriate response is to discuss what lesser insanity might satisfy him. They have taught him that threats work—not because he gets what he wants, but because he gets a seat at a table that should never have been set.
⁂
The tragedy is that strength was available to them. Trump ruled out force. The threat was empty. All they had to do was nothing. All they had to do was win.
They could not tolerate winning. They had to be reasonable instead.
And now we see where reasonable leads.
Trump will claim victory no matter what, so Europe shouldn’t optimize for Truth Social.
Denmark isn’t backing down, Rutte can’t negotiate for Denmark or the EU, and he can’t “sell” Greenland. His lane is basically to keep NATO from imploding and offer Trump something he can call a win without Europe actually conceding anything. Which mostly means repackaging what the US already has, or what allies were already willing to do anyway (more Arctic coordination, surveillance, access, exercises).
This is the geopolitical equivalent of the fake bus stop outside a memory-care facility. The shuttle will be here shortly.
Mike, consider their MO was to let him think he got ‘something’ which was really nothing, just so he’d go away quietly? Sometimes with a changeable, raging, imbecile as he is, if they cut him off fast and short, he’d be so enraged in his delirium that he’d retaliate. All it took was for Norway to not give him the peace prize to have him go berserk. Perhaps, they decided to give him a crumb to make him go away. They could manipulate the negotiated crumb afterward when they were in a stronger position.
We’d all surely understand wanting him to go away soon and empty handed because we’ve had more than we can stomach from him. A foreign journalist aptly described him as half toddler/half dictator. How apt. -Nadine Long