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Daniel Pareja's avatar

"If Canada makes itself economically dependent on China, the bill will come due in the form Beijing chooses, at the moment Beijing chooses, on the terms Beijing chooses."

We are not looking to become economically dependent on China.

This is because we did make ourselves economically dependent on the United States (but, at the same time, the United States made itself economically reliant on Canada; to name but one sphere, consider how Hydro-Québec sells power to New England, or how British Columbia manages the flow of the Columbia River to ensure stable hydroelectric power generation in Washington and Oregon and to keep the river from flooding communities along the border between those states) and the bill has now come due, in the form Washington chose, at the moment Washington chose, and on the terms Washington chose. The bill is that we must further prostrate ourselves to Washington, we must decline to retaliate against their flagrantly illegal acts, that we must simply accept tariffs and threats of invasion as the cost of doing business. (But as noted, it is not as if we don't have leverage of our own: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=R65jaHugsHM It is that very retaliation which gives us that leverage and we are not blind to the fact that the complaints about provincial boycotts of USAian alcohol prove that that is a pain point for the US, and that we can therefore press harder on it. See also https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nubiVIZhdG0 in which Jeanne Shaheen, who by her own admission has a financial interest in US alcohol sales, agrees with Howard that our alcohol bans are "outrageous", "insulting" and "disrespectful" instead of a proportional--or even disproportionately small--response to US economic aggression. And since I brought up both Wab Kinew and alcohol bans, mandatory video: https://www.youtube.com/shorts/l6WFdnipcH8 )

The posture is not "China is reliable but the United States is not, therefore let us become dependent on China". The posture is "China has thus far kept its word on trade while the United States has broken it, but China's hands are nonetheless unclean, therefore let us pursue diversified trade to hedge against the risk of doing business with either". We have forgotten neither the 51st state rhetoric nor the Two Michaels (an action by China precipitated by an invocation by Donald's first administration of our bilateral extradition treaty). This is the conclusion reached not only by Canada but by other international economic actors; see, for instance, the recent trade pact concluded between the European Union and India (another country upon which I, at least, am keeping a wary eye, as Narendra Modi is also an untrustworthy actor), or how the EU-Mercosur pact has finally reached a stage of provisional implementation after decades of negotiation (and even then figures like Javier Milei, and the potential return of Jair Bolsonaro or his associates, force a degree of wariness toward Mercosur). The EU has, of course, taken an anti-US posture in large part over the threats by the United States to annex Greenland, a part of the Kingdom of Denmark, long one of the best US allies in Europe and a critical one on account of its roles both in the GIUK gap (with not only Greenland but also the Faroe Islands as part of it) to track movements to and from Murmansk and in monitoring sea traffic in and out of the Baltic Sea with particular regard to movements to and from Kaliningrad.

(The attempted annexation of Greenland would also militarily pincer Canada, and betrays that a large part of the current US policy toward Canada is an attempt to control the sea lane that runs through our Arctic archipelago; even prior to the current tensions the US had held the position that the waters should be considered international rather than internal, and I believe this is partly based on the precedent that waters between Denmark's islands are considered international, rather than internal, due to their importance in shipping in and out of the Baltic Sea.)

You are correct that articles such as yours, and comments such as mine, could not be made if this were a Chinese platform. It is also, however, the case that in making these comments at all I am foregoing any possibility of entering the United States while the current administration (or any future administration sharing its principles) remains in power. I have relatives in the United States, and while I am not much of a traveller I have visited Bellingham, Seattle and the Los Angeles area on various trips, and even sometimes tell a funny story about getting pulled over for speeding in Montana as compared to the same in Wisconsin while on a family trip to Ontario, as we chose to drive through the United States instead of taking the Trans-Canada Highway. I would have preferred to keep that option open; other commenters (see, eg, https://www.youtube.com/@GuardTheLeaf and as he puts it, thoughts and prayers to the US tourism industry) do not make their remarks while revealing their actual identity in an effort to do just that. Do not think that I can make these remarks, under my real name, with no cost to myself.

EDIT: The Canadian relationship to the United States has been an abusive one for decades, not only abuse from Washington toward Ottawa but also from USAians toward Canadians; see, for instance, USAians regularly not considering Canadian money to be "real money". We are working our way out of one abusive relationship and have no intention of entering another with Beijing.

James Gillen's avatar

"The structure of the suspicion is the structure I have been diagnosing in these pages in other domains. It is the move that converts criticism of any party into license to defend the party’s adversaries, on the implicit theory that the political-emotional priority of opposing the wrong party requires the corresponding priority of not criticizing the right party’s enemies. The move has produced the analytical paralysis that runs through significant portions of the contemporary American left, in which any criticism of authoritarian regimes that happen to be in conflict with the United States gets read as a contribution to American imperial ideology, with the result that the actual conduct of those regimes — disappearances, ethnic-minority internment, organ harvesting, the threatening of democratic neighbors with military annihilation — becomes unnameable because naming it is positioned as taking the wrong side in the wrong conflict."

Otherwise known as the "Noam Chomsky's Political Analyst Career Premise."

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